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☆ Job gains expected again in March. Here are all the things to look for in Friday's report
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Job growth is expected to come in at 200,000 for the period, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. That will be just one of several key areas in focus when the report is released at 8:30 a.m. The job market's resilience has confounded many economists who spent the past two years searching for a jobs-led recession that never happened. Household employment, which counts individual workers rather than total jobs and is used to calculate the unemployment rate, has fallen by nearly 1 million since November. The survey is more volatile and uses a much smaller sample than the establishment count that yields the headline payrolls growth total.

Persons: Timothy Aeppel, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Dan North, Goldman Sachs, Luke Tilley, Stocks Organizations: Labor Department, Allianz Trade, Wilmington Trust Locations: Oxnard , California, Wilmington

☆ 2024 is the year of the rate cut pivot — here's when the world's central banks will budge
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

EIU also expects the Bank of Japan will exit its negative interest rate policy in the second quarter. Markets currently expect the Fed to start with a 25-basis-point rate cut in June. Euro zoneThe European Central Bank last week also held its policy rate at a record high of 4%, signaling that it won't cut rates before June. JPMorgan said in a research note that the Turkish central bank may cut its policy rate in November and December, keeping its year-end policy rate forecast of 45%. IndonesiaIndonesia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 6% in its recent meeting.

Persons: EIU, Jerome Powell, LSEG, Nomura, Perry Warjiyo, CNBC's JP Ong, BOK, Goldman Sachs, Goohoon Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Japan, United, United States U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Swiss National Bank, UBS, Bank of Canada, Bank of, JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of, ANZ, New Zealand Auckland Savings Bank, Bank, Bank Indonesia, BMI, Fitch Solutions, U.S, Oxford Economics, Macquarie Locations: Czech, China, Japan, United States, Switzerland Swiss, Bank of Canada, Turkey, Turkish, Reserve Bank of Australia, New, Indonesia, South Korea, Asia

☆ Job growth beats estimates, unemployment rate hits 2-year high
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( Madison Hoff | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewFebruary's job growth was strong and similar to January's revised job gain. According to Friday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US experienced job growth of 275,000 in February. Additionally, December's job growth of 333,000 stated in the February release was updated to 290,000 in the new report. Leisure and hospitality saw large job growth in February, with an increase of 58,000. Pollak also pointed out the large job gains seen in December and January were revised downward and an increase in the unemployment rate in February.

Persons: —, Labor Julie Su, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker, Bunker, That's Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, BLS, North, Labor Statistics Locations: America, North America

☆ Treasury yields rise as investors look ahead to Powell testimony and jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was over two basis points higher to 4.2091%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by more than three basis points to 4.5643%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monday as investors considered the state of the economy and looked ahead to key economic data slated for this week. Investors weighed the path ahead for the economy, including inflation — after recent data painted a somewhat mixed picture — and awaited fresh insights from the economy expected this week. Fresh insights will come this week in the form of labor market data, including JOLTs job openings figures, private payrolls data from ADP and the February jobs report.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, University of Michigan, Federal Reserve

☆ Rent is getting cheaper in these 27 cities as rising supply makes landlords lose leverage
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Rents fell for a sixth straight month in January, though the declines aren't moving the needle much. Here are 27 metropolitan areas where rent is more affordable now than last January, per Realtor.com. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The pace of year-over-year rent declines slowed considerably to -0.3% from December's -0.8% mark, which is a clear sign that apartment prices are stabilizing. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Business Locations: December's

☆ These stocks are well positioned for when the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This would likely push the Federal funds target range to between 4.5% to 4.75% by the end of this year, he said. Take a look at the stocks Barclays thinks are best-positioned for lower rates later this year. Darden Restaurants is one of the consumer names Barclays believes can outperform when the Fed loosens rates. Clothing retailer Gap is another stock Barclays believes will be a rate-cut cycle winner. GPS YTD mountain The Gap shares in 2024 Agribusiness company Bunge also made the cut.

Persons: Terrence Malone, Malone, Jeff Bernstein, Bernstein, Jason Goldberg, Goldberg, Adrienne Yih, Bunge, Ben Theurer, —, Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Darden, Olive Garden, LongHorn, Fifth, Bancorp, Old Navy, Banana, Analysts, Bunge Locations: Olive, Banana Republic

☆ Germany’s housebuilding sector is in a 'confidence crisis' as the economy struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Patrick Pleul | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesGermany's housebuilding sector has gone from bad to worse in recent months. "The housebuilding sector is, I would say, a little bit in a confidence crisis," Dominik von Achten, chairman of German building materials company Heidelberg Materials, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Thursday. In January both the current sentiment and expectations for the German residential construction sector fell to all-time lows, according to data from the Ifo Institute for Economic Research. The business climate reading fell to a negative 59 points, while expectations dropped to negative 68.9 points in the month. Habeck pointed to higher interest rates as a key challenge for the economy, explaining that those had led to reduced investments, especially in the construction sector.

Persons: Patrick Pleul, Dominik von Achten, CNBC's, Klaus Wohlrabe, Robert Habeck, Wohlrabe, It's, Achten Organizations: Getty, Heidelberg Materials, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Hamburg Commercial Bank, PMI, Climate Locations: Germany, Ifo, Heidelberg

☆ New home construction in the US plummeted to a 5-month low in January
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-20 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Housing starts collapsed 14.8% month-over-month in January to a five-month low, according to Census Bureau data released Friday. The decline in new construction flies against the trends of strong and rising demand throughout 2023 and into this year. It also marks a reversal from a period of rising supply seen recently, with new housing starts jumping 14.8% last November. David Rosenberg, economist and president of Rosenberg Research, said in a note that it's hard to determine how much seasonal factors like inclement weather played a part in sending construction starts tumbling last month. Rosenberg added that a strong pipeline of multifamily construction will continue to impact the market for the foreseeable future.

Persons: David Rosenberg, West . Rosenberg Organizations: Business, Rosenberg Research Locations: Midwest, West

☆ Top Wall Street analysts like these 3 stocks for long-term growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-18 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street analysts are ignoring the short-term noise to focus on picking stocks with strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential. Here are three stocks favored by the Street's top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. In reaction to the upbeat results, Baird analyst David Tarantino reiterated a buy rating on CMG stock and boosted the price target to $2,850 from $2,650. He thinks that this pace of unit growth, coupled with mid-single-digit comps, would help the company "sustain scarce top-line growth characteristics for many years to come." Total comparable sales growth came in at 2.7%, with e-commerce comps rising 21%.

Persons: Baird, David Tarantino, Tarantino, TipRanks, Meta's, Brian White, White, Meta, Peter Benedict, Benedict Organizations: Street, Grill, Meta, Costco Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, Canada

☆ Housing-market activity stalls in January amid uncertain rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . After showing stronger signs of life in recent months, activity in the US housing market shifted back to low gear in January. The culprit behind the slowdown has been more subdued expectations for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which has, in turn, kept mortgage rates high. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.87% last week, an uptick after a period of steady declines.

Persons: —, Hal Bennett, Bennett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors Locations: Bellevue , WA

☆ 3 signs the economy is thriving — and 3 red flags to monitor
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Positive labor market data and GDP growth support this, but job opportunities in some sectors are down. Not all job data is positive, with job openings falling from their post-pandemic highs. Below are some of the signs the economy is thriving, as well as some warning signs. Labor market data is mostly positiveThe labor market is still stable despite gradually slowing, Kimbrough said during the forum. "I think the investment side of our economy is going to start to chip away a little bit at the discretionary consumption weight in our economy."

Persons: —, Marc Giannoni, LinkedIn's Karin Kimbrough, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Giannoni, Kimbrough, Jerome Powell, Powell, NerdWallet's Elizabeth Renter, Sonders, They're, there’s, there's, — Kimbrough, it’s Organizations: Federal, Service, Barclays, NYU Stern Economic, Labor, Conference, University of Michigan's, Market Committee, Health, New, New York City Housing Locations: York, New York City

☆ Retail sales tumbled 0.8% in January, much more than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Consumer spending fell sharply in January, presenting a potential early danger sign for the economy, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Advance retail sales declined 0.8% for the month following a downwardly revised 0.4% gain in December, according to the Census Bureau. Even excluding autos, sales dropped 0.6%, well below the estimate for a 0.2% gain. The sales report is adjusted for seasonal factors but not for inflation, so the report showed spending lagging the pace of price increases. While the New York survey still indicated contraction, it was a much better reading than January's -43.7 and the -15 estimate.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Advance, Census, Labor Department, Gas, Federal, Empire, Investors, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Philadelphia, New York, York

☆ UK inflation holds steady at 4%, lower than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Karl Hendon | Moment | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady at 4% year-on-year in January on the back of easing prices for furniture and household goods, food and non-alcoholic beverages. Economists polled by Reuters had produced a consensus forecast of 4.2% year-on-year for January and -0.3% for the month. The CPI goods annual rate slowed from 1.9% to 1.8%, but price pressures in the services industry remained hot, with the CPI services annual rate rising from 6.4% to 6.5%. The U.K. has lagged its peers in bringing down inflation, but the headline CPI has been on a general downward trajectory since the October 2022 peak of 11.1% year-on-year. The labor market and wage growth have meanwhile eased but will remain uncomfortably robust for a central bank aiming to drag inflation back to its 2% target.

Persons: Karl Hendon, Jeremy Hunt, Marion Amiot Organizations: London, Euromonitor International, Karl, Reuters, National Statistics, Bank of England, Finance

☆ Dollar nears 150 yen ahead of US inflation test; bitcoin buoyant
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar flirted with the psychological threshold of 150 yen on Tuesday and held broadly steady ahead of a key reading on U.S. inflation due later in the day, while bitcoin hovered around the $50,000 mark for a second day running. The greenback last bought 149.39 yen, edging higher toward the closely-watched 150 level that analysts said would likely trigger further jawboning from Japanese officials in an attempt to support the currency. The projected rise in inflation three years from now dropped to 2.4%, the lowest since March 2020, from December's 2.6%. Analysts said the latest boost to bitcoin comes ahead of its halving event, which will cut the reward for successfully mining a bitcoin block in half. The expectation of rate cuts certainly helps, but it doesn't explain what's really set fire to bitcoin over the past four, five sessions," said IG's Sycamore.

Persons: pare, that's, Tony Sycamore, It's, Kyle Rodda Organizations: greenback, Bank of, IG, Federal Reserve Bank of New, U.S ., New Zealand, U.S, bitcoin Locations: Asia, China, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, U.S, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, December's, Europe

The 2-year Treasury yield nearly three basis points lower at 4.47%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower Monday as investors looked ahead to key economic data and fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials that could provide hints about the interest rate outlook. January's consumer price index is due Tuesday, before the producer price index, retail sales figures and further data points which are slated for later in the week. Investors are hoping that the data will suggest that the Fed could begin cutting rates sooner rather than later. On Friday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics revised December's consumer price index lower, saying it had risen by 0.2% that month.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics

☆ Trading CPI: Where JPMorgan traders see the market going, based on these scenarios
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-12 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan traders expect the S & P 500 could rise 0.5% to 1%. The S & P 500 may gain 1% to 1.5% here. In this scenario, JPMorgan traders anticipate a 1% to 1.5% decline in the S & P 500. The S & P 500 could rally 2% to 2.25%. Traders expect the S & P 500 could lose 1.75% to 2.25% in this scenario.

Persons: Dow Jones, disinflation, Jerome Powell's, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CPI, Investors, Reserve, JPMorgan, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Portfolio health care name turns its luck around thanks to management's AI push
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "That is something we have to celebrate," Jim Cramer said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, Peter Arduini, Jim, Arduini, we're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, GE, General Electric, Nvidia, Club, Broadcom, Microsoft

☆ The S&P 500 will try to maintain its momentum next week after breaching 5,000, with key inflation data, earnings on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The S & P 500 broke past 5,000 for the first time ever this week, but investors will see if the momentum can stick in the week ahead with more inflation data and earnings results on deck. On Friday, both the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were headed for their fifth straight week of gains, and their 14th winning week in 15. FactSet data shows S & P 500 earnings are tracking to have risen 2.8% in the fourth quarter, which would be a second straight quarter of earnings growth, and some expect that positive momentum will remain intact in the weeks ahead. A cooler-than-expected print has the potential to be greeted with enthusiasm, sending the S & P 500 even higher. The S & P 500 is up by 5% this year, with Nvidia higher by more than 40%.

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, Karim El Nokali, we've, Tony Welch, Dow, SignatureFD's Welch, there's, Welch, Russell, Jason Hunter, that's, Hunter, Matt Kishlansky, Biogen, Kraft Heinz, Generac Organizations: Treasury, Wharton Business, Nasdaq, Arista Networks, Marriott International, Occidental Petroleum, Deere, Applied Materials, Dow Jones, Wall, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, JPMorgan, New York Community Bancorp, Federal Reserve, Treasury Budget, Waste, CPI, MGM Resorts International, Akamai Technologies, Howmet Aerospace, Molson Coors Beverage, Hasbro, Price, Index, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, PPI Locations: SignatureFD, U.S, Long, GenTrust, Albemarle, NAHB, Michigan

☆ Mortgage payments have reverted back near all-time highs as the Fed delays rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementRising mortgage rates are inflating mortgage payments, which are now roughly $110 under October's all-time peak, Redfin reported. With the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaging 6.63% in the four weeks through January, the median monthly payment hit $2,607. As mortgage rates loosely follow interest levels, renewed signals that interest rates will stay higher for longer are instead leading to a mortgage rate rebound. Redfin expects mortgage rates to remain elevated near current levels until the Fed cuts interest rates, which may be months away from happening. "I'm advising buyers — especially first-timers — that the mortgage rates they see in the news aren't the be-all and end-all.

Persons: Redfin, —, Luis Rojas, hasn't, Rojas, Fannie Mae's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Locations: It's

☆ Job growth surged past forecasts in January
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

New data out Friday showed the US started 2024 with 353,000 nonfarm payrolls added in January. That far surpasses the forecasted job growth. The unemployment rate was 3.7% in January, like it was in December. AdvertisementJanuary was a solid month for job growth in the US. The unemployment rate was 3.7% in January after ending 2023 with a rate of 3.7% for both November and December.

Persons: payrolls, — Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business

☆ The unemployment rate of Black men rose in January, underscoring continued inequality in labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

These workers had the highest unemployment rate when breaking down Black, Hispanic and white workers by gender. By comparison, white men saw a jobless rate of just 3.3% in January, holding steady from December. The overall unemployment rate was unchanged from December at 3.7%. This underscores the impact of job losses among Black men, especially considering the fact that the rate for Black women was unchanged between December and January at 4.8%. The tight labor market experienced during the pandemic helped close the gap in work-related opportunities among Black and white men, she said.

Persons: Elise Gould, Gould, it's Organizations: Fs, Getty, Labor Department, Economic, Institute

☆ U.S. economy added 353,000 jobs in January, much better than expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Nonfarm payrolls expanded by 353,000 for the month, much better than the Dow Jones estimate for 185,000, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Job growth was widespread on the month, led by professional and business services with 74,000. The report also indicated that December's job gains were much better than originally reported. The January payrolls count comes with economists and policymakers closely watching employment figures for direction on the larger economy. The fourth quarter saw GDP increase at a strong 3.3% annualized pace, closing out a year in which the economy defied widespread predictions for a recession.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Gross, Atlanta, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 futures gain after Meta, Amazon results as jobs report looms: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

On the other hand, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.97%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite respectively gained 1.25% and 1.3%. The action follows a Wednesday sell-off that started after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut at the March meeting was unlikely. Economists polled by Dow Jones are calling for payrolls to have grown by 185,000 positions, and for the unemployment rate to inch higher to 3.8%. That compares to December's blowout of 216,000 positions added and an unemployment rate of 3.7%.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Art Hogan, It's, it's, Hogan, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Meta, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Dow Jones, Federal, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Myers Squibb Locations: China, mull, Bristol, Cigna

☆ Oil edges up on U.S. Fed rate signals, China property sector support
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Equinor ASA offshore oil drilling platform on Johan Sverdrup oil field in the North Sea off the coast of Norway. Global oil prices climbed in early trade on Thursday, supported by signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve on a possible start to rate cuts and as China unveiled new support measures for its embattled property market. Lower rates and economic growth are supportive for oil demand. China, the world's second biggest economy, unveiled new property support measures amid concerns about the fallout from the liquidation of developer Evergrande and as the country ended last year with the worst declines in new home prices in nearly nine years. In the Middle East, worries about attacks by Yemen-based Houthi forces on shipping in the Red Sea are now driving up costs and disrupting global oil trading.

Persons: Johan Sverdrup, Jerome Powell, JPMorgan Organizations: ASA, U.S . Federal, Brent, . West Texas, Federal, JPMorgan, ANZ Research Locations: North, Norway, Global, China, Yemen, Jordan, Red

☆ Factories in developing Asia may have seen the worst of manufacturing slump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Photographer: Linh Pham/Bloomberg via Getty Images Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesMost developing economies in Asia might have left the worst of the broad manufacturing slowdown behind in 2023, according to a series of private surveys released Thursday. South Korea's S&P manufacturing purchasing managers' index recorded its first expansionary reading since June 2022 at 51.2 in January, up from 49.9 in December. "The health of the South Korean manufacturing sector registered a renewed improvement at the start of 2024. Growth was reportedly reflective of increased domestic and international orders, particularly for new products," Bhatti added. These private PMI surveys are typically seen as one of several leading indicators of economic activity in the respective economies.

Persons: Linh Pham, Usamah Bhatti, Bhatti, Annabel Fiddes Organizations: Wind Corp, Vung, Renewables, International Energy Agency, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, P Global Market Intelligence, Vietnam, ASEAN, PMI, International Monetary Fund, IMF, " Companies Locations: Tan Thanh, Ba, Vung Tau Province, Vietnam, Asia, China, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand

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